Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.79) 2.16 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 20.6% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 4.0% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxDordrecht
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack35%29%
Defense41%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Dordrecht
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%29%43%36%
Draws43%29%36%29%29%29%
Loses43%71%57%43%29%36%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLL • Dordrecht: WWLWDDLDDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Dordrecht
HATHAT
GF total1192071118
GF avg1.61.31.41.01.61.3
GA total13173071118
GA avg1.92.42.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxDordrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%93%79%71%
1.543%64%36%43%
2.521%36%14%14%
3.57%21%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxDordrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxDordrecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxDordrecht
Wins12
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-00-3
Biggest losses2-44-11-23-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxDordrecht
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Dordrecht

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Betfair
No3.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.43 (league 1.79), Dordrecht = 2.16 (league 1.41)

Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 2.8% 6.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1%
1 4.0% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.8% 6.1% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1