Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.78) 2.09 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.0% 20.8% 43.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 2.0% 4.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZVVV Venlo
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack53%35%
Defense35%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%50%33%43%
Draws0%29%14%0%0%0%
Loses71%43%57%50%67%57%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWL • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Jong AZ VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total11102111920
GF avg1.61.41.51.41.51.4
GA total13132681220
GA avg1.91.91.91.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%71%79%
1.543%50%36%50%
2.529%36%21%14%
3.514%21%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricJong AZVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricJong AZVVV Venlo
Wins22
Draws10
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-44-10-23-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricJong AZVVV Venlo
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ SBO
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.80 (league 1.78), VVV Venlo = 2.09 (league 1.36)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 2.0% 4.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7%
1 3.7% 7.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.9% 7.2% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 2.0% 4.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.0% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 43.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1