Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:30 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.79) 2.12 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 20.0% 37.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 1.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.3% 4.9% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportJong PSV U21
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack91%64%
Defense45%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%14%43%57%43%50%
Draws0%14%7%14%29%21%
Loses29%71%50%29%29%29%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLW • Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
GF total13619111627
GF avg1.90.91.41.62.31.9
GA total9101981422
GA avg1.31.41.41.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportJong PSV U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%86%79%
1.536%43%71%43%
2.514%14%29%21%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportJong PSV U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportJong PSV U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportJong PSV U21
Wins25
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-02-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-35-3
Goals For4334
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportJong PSV U21
Form64%36%
Att59%41%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total60.2%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ SBO
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 2.12 (league 1.79), Jong PSV U21 = 2.12 (league 1.41)

Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 1.4% 3.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
1 3.1% 6.5% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
2 3.2% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.3% 4.9% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.2% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1