Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:45 • Mandemakers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.77) 1.53 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 24.6% 40.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaalwijkDe Graafschap
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack75%50%
Defense38%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waalwijk De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played77147613
Wins43%43%43%43%33%38%
Draws29%29%29%29%33%31%
Loses29%29%29%29%33%31%

Form: Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWD • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Waalwijk De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total13132613821
GF avg1.91.91.91.91.31.6
GA total11112212820
GA avg1.61.61.61.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaalwijkDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%93%77%100%
1.564%50%54%46%
2.521%14%31%8%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaalwijkDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricWaalwijkDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWaalwijkDe Graafschap
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-43-21-3
Biggest losses1-32-02-32-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricWaalwijkDe Graafschap
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Waalwijk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Pinnacle
No3.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waalwijk = 1.39 (league 1.77), De Graafschap = 1.53 (league 1.36)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 5.4% 8.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.5% 11.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.4% 3.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 40.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1