Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.79) 1.09 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 25.9% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 7.7% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense65%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played77148715
Wins43%43%43%63%14%40%
Draws29%29%29%0%14%7%
Loses29%29%29%38%71%53%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWW • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWL

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total13122515621
GF avg1.91.71.81.90.91.4
GA total12921121022
GA avg1.71.31.51.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%100%80%80%
1.557%43%40%47%
2.536%7%13%20%
3.57%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
Wins12
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-44-20-3
Biggest losses2-32-01-33-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapHelmond Sport
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.86 @ Unibet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away3.82 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.48 (league 1.79), Helmond Sport = 1.09 (league 1.41)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 7.7% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 27.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1