Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.77) 1.62 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 20.4% 27.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschAlmere City FC
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack30%35%
Defense45%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%50%47%38%29%33%
Draws29%0%13%25%0%13%
Loses29%50%40%38%71%53%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLW • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWW

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total16122819928
GF avg2.31.51.92.41.31.9
GA total121830111223
GA avg1.72.32.01.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschAlmere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%80%80%73%
1.553%67%47%53%
2.527%33%27%20%
3.513%7%27%7%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschAlmere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score022123

Penalties

MetricDen BoschAlmere City FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDen BoschAlmere City FC
Wins21
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-45-01-4
Biggest losses2-36-02-42-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschAlmere City FC
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 2.21 (league 1.77), Almere City FC = 1.62 (league 1.36)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.1% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1