Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.77) 0.70 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 24.1% 15.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack20%30%
Defense60%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played87159716
Wins13%0%7%22%29%25%
Draws50%29%40%22%14%19%
Loses38%71%53%56%57%56%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLD • FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total1192011415
GF avg1.41.31.31.20.60.9
GA total131730181533
GA avg1.62.42.02.02.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%56%69%
1.540%60%25%50%
2.520%33%13%44%
3.57%20%0%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets202235
Failed to score325347

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
Wins13
Draws31
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—1-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-10-46-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxFC Eindhoven
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Eindhoven

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betfair
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.66 (league 1.77), FC Eindhoven = 0.70 (league 1.36)

FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 9.4% 6.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.6% 11.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1