Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • De Herdgang
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.77) 0.48 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 25.1% 11.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 13.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack45%30%
Defense45%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong PSV U21 Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%50%53%38%14%27%
Draws14%25%20%38%14%27%
Loses29%25%27%25%71%47%

Form: Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWW • Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDL

League goals

Metric Jong PSV U21 Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total11193014418
GF avg1.62.42.01.80.61.2
GA total81624121224
GA avg1.12.01.61.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%80%67%73%
1.573%47%33%53%
2.533%20%13%20%
3.57%7%7%13%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score202235

Penalties

MetricJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
Wins52
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-10-1
Biggest losses0-35-32-44-0
Goals For3441
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricJong PSV U21Jong Utrecht
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals89%11%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Jong PSV U21 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw4.47 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Pinnacle
No3.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jong PSV U21 = 1.54 (league 1.77), Jong Utrecht = 0.48 (league 1.37)

Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong PSV U21 0 13.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1