Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

1 - 3
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.78) 1.94 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 21.4% 40.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.4% 4.6% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.3% 8.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVJong AZ
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack45%45%
Defense25%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%25%29%27%
Draws0%38%20%0%29%13%
Loses57%50%53%75%43%60%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLL • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLL

League goals

Metric MVV Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total12618111021
GF avg1.70.81.21.41.41.4
GA total131629151328
GA avg1.92.01.91.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%60%80%
1.540%53%40%53%
2.520%33%27%33%
3.50%27%13%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score246426

Penalties

MetricMVVJong AZ
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMVVJong AZ
Wins12
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-00-44-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricMVVJong AZ
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h60%40%
Goals58%42%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong AZ and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Bet365
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.81 (league 1.78), Jong AZ = 1.94 (league 1.37)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.4% 4.6% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
1 4.3% 8.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 40.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1