Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 19:00 • Covebo Stadion - De Koel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.78) 1.02 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.4% 24.5% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 6.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVVV VenloWillem II
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack40%25%
Defense85%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VVV Venlo Willem II
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins50%43%47%38%38%38%
Draws0%0%0%38%25%31%
Loses50%57%53%25%38%31%

Form: VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLW • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDD

League goals

Metric VVV Venlo Willem II
HATHAT
GF total11112291120
GF avg1.41.61.51.11.41.3
GA total8122081725
GA avg1.01.71.31.02.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVVV VenloWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%88%81%
1.540%47%31%44%
2.520%13%6%13%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVVV VenloWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricVVV VenloWillem II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVVV VenloWillem II
Wins23
Draws02
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-12-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-25-1
Goals For4423
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricVVV VenloWillem II
Form75%25%
Att62%38%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h29%71%
Goals39%61%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : VVV Venlo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VVV Venlo = 1.65 (league 1.78), Willem II = 1.02 (league 1.37)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 6.9% 7.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.7% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.4% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1