Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 19:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.79) 1.59 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 20.0% 26.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack57%29%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins38%25%31%44%43%44%
Draws25%0%13%0%0%0%
Loses38%75%56%56%57%56%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWL • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Almere City FC VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total191130111122
GF avg2.41.41.91.21.61.4
GA total111728101222
GA avg1.42.11.81.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%69%75%
1.550%56%38%50%
2.525%25%19%13%
3.525%13%13%0%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score123415

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
Wins22
Draws20
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-02-4
Biggest losses2-45-20-23-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCVVV Venlo
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or VVV Venlo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 188Bet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away4.40 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Marathonbet
No2.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.28 (league 1.79), VVV Venlo = 1.59 (league 1.41)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.8% 7.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1