Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 19:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.79) 1.38 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 18.0% 19.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 8.8% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportJong Ajax
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack50%21%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%13%38%11%0%6%
Draws0%13%6%44%29%38%
Loses38%75%56%44%71%56%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total1572212921
GF avg1.90.91.41.31.31.3
GA total121325161733
GA avg1.51.61.61.82.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%69%88%
1.538%50%38%63%
2.513%25%19%38%
3.56%0%6%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score033325

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-34-1—
Biggest losses1-33-12-44-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportJong Ajax
Form60%40%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ 188Bet
Draw4.75 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 2.55 (league 1.79), Jong Ajax = 1.38 (league 1.41)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.4% 8.8% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 18.0% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 13 , vtd1