Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.78) 3.14 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 15.3% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
7.0%
1 - 2
6.7%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 0.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.7% 7.0% 5.5% 3.4%
2 1.1% 3.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.9%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseJong PSV U21
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%71%
Defense21%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
Played68148816
Wins33%38%36%50%50%50%
Draws17%38%29%25%25%25%
Loses50%25%36%25%25%25%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLD • Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Vitesse Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
GF total91625141933
GF avg1.52.01.81.82.42.1
GA total111425111627
GA avg1.81.81.81.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseJong PSV U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%88%81%
1.557%57%75%50%
2.521%21%38%25%
3.514%14%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseJong PSV U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricVitesseJong PSV U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricVitesseJong PSV U21
Wins25
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-43-02-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-3
Goals For3434
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricVitesseJong PSV U21
Form42%58%
Att41%59%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals36%64%
Total41.4%58.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong PSV U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw4.40 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.68 (league 1.78), Jong PSV U21 = 3.14 (league 1.37)

Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 0.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.3% 2.0%
1 1.3% 4.2% 6.7% 7.0% 5.5% 3.4%
2 1.1% 3.6% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 2.9%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.6%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 56.8%

Vtot 13 , Vtod2