Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:00 • Mandemakers Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 0

MVV

Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.79) 1.08 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.2% 21.3% 19.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaalwijkMVV
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack64%64%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waalwijk MVV
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%38%38%38%13%25%
Draws25%38%31%0%38%19%
Loses38%25%31%63%50%56%

Form: Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLD • MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLL

League goals

Metric Waalwijk MVV
HATHAT
GF total14132713619
GF avg1.81.61.71.60.81.2
GA total151126161632
GA avg1.91.41.62.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaalwijkMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%63%81%
1.556%50%38%56%
2.519%19%19%38%
3.513%6%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaalwijkMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score033246

Penalties

MetricWaalwijkMVV
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWaalwijkMVV
Wins21
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-43-10-1
Biggest losses1-42-02-44-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against4244

Model comparison

MetricWaalwijkMVV
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total65.2%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Waalwijk or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ 188Bet
Draw6.33 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.39 @ Betano
Under 2.53.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waalwijk = 2.01 (league 1.79), MVV = 1.08 (league 1.41)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.2% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1