Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • Kooi Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.77) 0.73 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.1% 15.0% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.3%
3 - 0
10.4%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCambuurHelmond Sport
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack83%50%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cambuur Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins88%44%65%67%13%41%
Draws13%33%24%0%13%6%
Loses0%22%12%33%75%53%

Form: Cambuur: LWWWDWWWDWWDLWWDW • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Cambuur Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total22173917724
GF avg2.81.92.31.90.91.4
GA total91221131326
GA avg1.11.31.21.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCambuurHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%65%82%82%
1.565%35%41%47%
2.541%18%12%24%
3.524%6%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCambuurHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricCambuurHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCambuurHelmond Sport
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-44-20-3
Biggest losses—4-21-33-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCambuurHelmond Sport
Form63%38%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h38%62%
Goals54%46%
Total58.3%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cambuur or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.08 @ Pinnacle
Away6.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cambuur = 2.53 (league 1.77), Helmond Sport = 0.73 (league 1.36)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cambuur 0 3.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.4% 7.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.6% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.1% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1