Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • Stadion De Vliert
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.77) 1.85 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 17.5% 23.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.0%
3 - 1
6.5%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDen BoschWillem II
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack67%39%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Den Bosch Willem II
HATHAT
Played89178917
Wins50%44%47%38%44%41%
Draws25%0%12%38%22%29%
Loses25%56%41%25%33%29%

Form: Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWL • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDW

League goals

Metric Den Bosch Willem II
HATHAT
GF total21143591322
GF avg2.61.62.11.11.41.3
GA total14213581725
GA avg1.82.32.11.01.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDen BoschWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%82%88%76%
1.559%71%35%41%
2.529%35%6%12%
3.518%6%0%12%
4.512%6%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDen BoschWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricDen BoschWillem II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricDen BoschWillem II
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-22-42-10-2
Biggest losses2-36-01-25-1
Goals For5423
Goals Against3625

Model comparison

MetricDen BoschWillem II
Form50%50%
Att63%37%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total44.5%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Willem II and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Betfair
No2.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Den Bosch = 2.79 (league 1.77), Willem II = 1.85 (league 1.36)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Den Bosch 0 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
2 3.8% 7.0% 6.4% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
3 3.5% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
5 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1