Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:00 • De Oude Meerdijk
Match Finished
4 - 2
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.78) 1.87 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 19.7% 30.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.6%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmmenJong AZ
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack39%33%
Defense72%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emmen Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%33%35%22%38%29%
Draws38%11%24%0%25%12%
Loses25%56%41%78%38%59%

Form: Emmen: LLLWWDWLLLWLWDWDD • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWL

League goals

Metric Emmen Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total181028111324
GF avg2.31.11.61.21.61.4
GA total131730161430
GA avg1.61.91.81.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmmenJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%59%82%
1.547%47%41%47%
2.518%29%29%29%
3.56%18%12%18%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmmenJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score033527

Penalties

MetricEmmenJong AZ
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricEmmenJong AZ
Wins22
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-44-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricEmmenJong AZ
Form60%40%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Emmen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw4.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.95 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emmen = 2.33 (league 1.78), Jong AZ = 1.87 (league 1.37)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
1 3.5% 6.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.1% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 30.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1