Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:15 • De Geusselt
Match Finished

MVV

0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.79) 2.13 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 20.8% 51.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.9% 6.1% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.1% 8.7% 9.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVRoda
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack33%28%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Roda
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%11%24%33%50%41%
Draws0%33%18%44%25%35%
Loses63%56%59%22%25%24%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLL • Roda: WWLDDWLWDWWWDDLDL

League goals

Metric MVV Roda
HATHAT
GF total13619161228
GF avg1.60.71.11.81.51.6
GA total161733111324
GA avg2.01.91.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVRoda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%88%71%
1.535%53%41%35%
2.518%35%18%24%
3.50%24%6%12%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVRoda
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score257112

Penalties

MetricMVVRoda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricMVVRoda
Wins13
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-16-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-01-44-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricMVVRoda
Form25%75%
Att55%45%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total35.8%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Roda

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Bet365
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away1.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.43 (league 1.79), Roda = 2.13 (league 1.41)

Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.9% 6.1% 6.5% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.1% 8.7% 9.2% 6.5% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.2% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 51.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1