Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 15:45 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.77) 1.06 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.6% 19.1% 16.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.2% 8.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack78%50%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins50%38%44%22%38%29%
Draws25%25%25%22%13%18%
Loses25%38%31%56%50%53%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWL • FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLLWLDW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap FC Eindhoven
HATHAT
GF total16143011718
GF avg2.01.81.91.20.91.1
GA total131225181634
GA avg1.61.51.62.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%100%59%71%
1.563%44%29%47%
2.538%13%18%41%
3.56%0%0%24%
4.50%0%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
HATHAT
Clean sheets000235
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
Wins43
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-41-01-3
Biggest losses2-32-00-46-0
Goals For3433
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapFC Eindhoven
Form63%37%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h80%20%
Goals82%18%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.77 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 2.26 (league 1.77), FC Eindhoven = 1.06 (league 1.36)

FC Eindhoven
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.2% 8.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.0% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 16.4%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1