Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.77) 2.64 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.0% 17.1% 60.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0%
1 2.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
3 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxVitesse
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack21%57%
Defense29%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Vitesse
HATHAT
Played98177815
Wins11%0%6%43%38%40%
Draws44%25%35%14%38%27%
Loses44%75%59%43%25%33%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLL • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDW

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total121022121628
GF avg1.31.31.31.72.01.9
GA total161935121426
GA avg1.82.42.11.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%87%87%
1.535%65%60%53%
2.518%35%27%20%
3.56%18%13%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxVitesse
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxVitesse
Wins12
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-10-4
Biggest losses2-44-10-44-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxVitesse
Form11%89%
Att27%73%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Winner : Vitesse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.32 (league 1.77), Vitesse = 2.64 (league 1.36)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 1.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0%
1 2.5% 6.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
3 0.7% 1.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8%
4 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.0% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 60.4%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1