Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.78) 1.14 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 12.4% 9.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 0
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCJong Ajax
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack100%45%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%33%39%20%0%11%
Draws22%0%11%40%25%33%
Loses33%67%50%40%75%56%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWW • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total221335141024
GF avg2.41.41.91.41.31.3
GA total111829161935
GA avg1.22.01.61.62.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%72%83%
1.556%50%39%61%
2.528%22%17%33%
3.522%11%6%17%
4.56%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets415303
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-1—
Biggest losses2-45-22-44-1
Goals For5443
Goals Against4544

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCJong Ajax
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Almere City FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw5.18 @ Pinnacle
Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 3.23 (league 1.78), Jong Ajax = 1.14 (league 1.37)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 5.7% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
5 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 9.6%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1