Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.80) 0.69 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 19.8% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportMVV
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack73%36%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport MVV
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%11%39%33%11%22%
Draws0%22%11%11%33%22%
Loses33%67%50%56%56%56%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWD • MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport MVV
HATHAT
GF total1772413619
GF avg1.90.81.31.40.71.1
GA total131326161733
GA avg1.41.41.41.81.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%56%78%
1.539%44%33%50%
2.511%22%17%33%
3.56%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score044358

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportMVV
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportMVV
Wins21
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-33-12-44-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportMVV
Form88%13%
Att67%33%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Helmond Sport or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Unibet
Draw4.73 @ Pinnacle
Away5.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 2.01 (league 1.80), MVV = 0.69 (league 1.43)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 6.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.5% 9.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 9.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 11.7%

vtt 8 , vtd1