Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:00 • Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.79) 1.45 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 21.6% 27.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roda 0 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodaJong AZ
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack27%45%
Defense27%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roda Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%44%39%22%33%28%
Draws44%33%39%0%22%11%
Loses22%22%22%78%44%61%

Form: Roda: WWLDDWLWDWWWDDLDLD • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLL

League goals

Metric Roda Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total161228111526
GF avg1.81.31.61.21.71.4
GA total111324161834
GA avg1.21.41.31.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodaJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%61%83%
1.539%33%44%50%
2.517%22%28%33%
3.56%11%11%22%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodaJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score123527

Penalties

MetricRodaJong AZ
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricRodaJong AZ
Wins32
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-44-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricRodaJong AZ
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total49.7%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Roda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away4.52 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Roda = 2.01 (league 1.79), Jong AZ = 1.45 (league 1.41)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roda 0 3.2% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 27.4%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1