Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:00 • Mandemakers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.78) 1.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 22.1% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.1% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaalwijkVVV Venlo
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack45%27%
Defense18%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waalwijk VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%33%39%40%38%39%
Draws22%33%28%0%0%0%
Loses33%33%33%60%63%61%

Form: Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWL • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Waalwijk VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total151429111122
GF avg1.71.61.61.11.41.2
GA total151429131528
GA avg1.71.61.61.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaalwijkVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%61%78%
1.550%50%33%56%
2.517%22%17%22%
3.511%6%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaalwijkVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score033527

Penalties

MetricWaalwijkVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWaalwijkVVV Venlo
Wins22
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-44-02-4
Biggest losses1-43-10-33-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricWaalwijkVVV Venlo
Form63%38%
Att63%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total50.7%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Waalwijk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away4.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Waalwijk = 1.81 (league 1.78), VVV Venlo = 1.73 (league 1.37)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waalwijk 0 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
1 5.2% 9.1% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.0% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 36.4%

Vtot 8 , Vtod6