Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 19:00 • Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.74) 1.98 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 21.7% 46.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack71%93%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Utrecht De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%22%33%56%44%50%
Draws33%22%28%22%22%22%
Loses22%56%39%22%33%28%

Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Jong Utrecht De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total17926181634
GF avg1.91.01.42.01.81.9
GA total141630131326
GA avg1.61.81.71.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%83%94%
1.544%56%67%39%
2.522%22%33%11%
3.56%11%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
Wins24
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-11-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-32-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricJong UtrechtDe Graafschap
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.01 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 1.53 (league 1.74), De Graafschap = 1.98 (league 1.45)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 46.7%

vtt 9 , vtd1