Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.80) 1.28 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 24.8% 31.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 5.9% 7.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapRoda
Played55
Form80%13%
Attack86%29%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Roda
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%50%53%30%44%37%
Draws22%20%21%40%33%37%
Loses22%30%26%30%22%26%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWW • Roda: WWLDDWLWDWWWDDLDLDL

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Roda
HATHAT
GF total181937181230
GF avg2.01.91.91.81.31.6
GA total131528141327
GA avg1.41.51.51.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapRoda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%95%84%68%
1.568%42%42%37%
2.537%11%16%26%
3.55%0%5%11%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapRoda
HATHAT
Clean sheets101426
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapRoda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapRoda
Wins43
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-46-01-3
Biggest losses2-32-01-44-0
Goals For3463
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapRoda
Form86%14%
Att75%25%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Unibet
No3.00 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.56 (league 1.80), Roda = 1.28 (league 1.43)

Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 5.9% 7.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.7% 7.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.1% 9.1% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 31.0%

vtt 9 , vtd1