Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • De Oude Meerdijk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.79) 0.96 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 22.3% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.0%
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmmenHelmond Sport
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack64%50%
Defense50%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emmen Helmond Sport
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%30%37%60%11%37%
Draws33%10%21%0%22%11%
Loses22%60%42%40%67%53%

Form: Emmen: LLLWWDWLLLWLWDWDDWL • Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Emmen Helmond Sport
HATHAT
GF total22113319726
GF avg2.41.11.71.90.81.4
GA total151934171330
GA avg1.71.91.81.71.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmmenHelmond Sport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%79%79%
1.547%53%42%47%
2.521%26%11%26%
3.511%16%5%5%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmmenHelmond Sport
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score033044

Penalties

MetricEmmenHelmond Sport
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricEmmenHelmond Sport
Wins22
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-20-3
Biggest losses1-44-02-43-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricEmmenHelmond Sport
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Emmen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away4.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emmen = 1.87 (league 1.79), Helmond Sport = 0.96 (league 1.41)

Helmond Sport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.0% 10.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 19.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1