Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.80) 1.28 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 27.1% 38.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 8.4% 10.7% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZJong Utrecht
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack57%79%
Defense29%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%40%32%40%22%32%
Draws0%20%11%30%22%26%
Loses78%40%58%30%56%42%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLW • Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWWL

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total11182919928
GF avg1.21.81.51.91.01.5
GA total162036171633
GA avg1.82.01.91.71.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZJong Utrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%84%74%79%
1.547%53%47%58%
2.532%32%21%26%
3.511%21%5%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZJong Utrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score527235

Penalties

MetricJong AZJong Utrecht
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJong AZJong Utrecht
Wins22
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-44-12-44-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong AZJong Utrecht
Form46%54%
Att42%58%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.20 (league 1.80), Jong Utrecht = 1.28 (league 1.40)

Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 8.4% 10.7% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 38.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1