Wed, Dec 10 2025 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.79) 1.82 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 23.0% 49.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 4.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseWaalwijk
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense57%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins33%33%33%40%33%37%
Draws22%33%28%20%33%26%
Loses44%33%39%40%33%37%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLD • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLL

League goals

Metric Vitesse Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total131629161430
GF avg1.41.81.61.61.61.6
GA total141630171431
GA avg1.61.81.71.71.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%83%84%84%
1.550%56%47%53%
2.522%17%16%21%
3.511%11%11%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score224033

Penalties

MetricVitesseWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVitesseWaalwijk
Wins22
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-44-21-4
Biggest losses0-44-01-43-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricVitesseWaalwijk
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Waalwijk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.81 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.25 (league 1.79), Waalwijk = 1.82 (league 1.41)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 4.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 49.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1