Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.80) 1.70 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 21.4% 32.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportWillem II
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack27%27%
Defense45%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Willem II
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins60%10%35%40%40%40%
Draws0%20%10%30%20%25%
Loses40%70%55%30%40%35%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLL • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Willem II
HATHAT
GF total19827111425
GF avg1.90.81.41.11.41.3
GA total17173491928
GA avg1.71.71.70.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%85%75%
1.540%50%35%40%
2.510%30%5%10%
3.55%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score044213

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportWillem II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportWillem II
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-32-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-11-25-1
Goals For4323
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportWillem II
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals14%86%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Willem II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 2.01 (league 1.80), Willem II = 1.70 (league 1.40)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 5.0% 8.4% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 32.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2