Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:00 • Jan Louwers Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.80) 2.27 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 20.0% 48.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 1.9% 4.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC EindhovenJong AZ
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack67%43%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Eindhoven Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins30%40%35%20%40%30%
Draws20%10%15%0%20%10%
Loses50%50%50%80%40%60%

Form: FC Eindhoven: WWWDLLLLDLLLLWLDWLWW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric FC Eindhoven Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total151126121830
GF avg1.51.11.31.21.81.5
GA total182139202040
GA avg1.82.12.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC EindhovenJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%65%85%
1.535%50%45%55%
2.525%40%30%35%
3.510%20%10%25%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC EindhovenJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets336213
Failed to score358527

Penalties

MetricFC EindhovenJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC EindhovenJong AZ
Wins32
Draws11
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-46-00-44-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against4644

Model comparison

MetricFC EindhovenJong AZ
Form63%38%
Att61%39%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total56.7%43.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Eindhoven or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Eindhoven = 1.67 (league 1.80), Jong AZ = 2.27 (league 1.43)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Eindhoven 0 1.9% 4.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.1% 7.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.5% 3.4% 3.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 48.7%

vtt 13 , vtd1