Fri, Jan 9 2026 • 19:00 • De Geusselt
Match Postponed

MVV

—
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.79) 1.93 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 21.8% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.7% 5.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.6% 8.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVAlmere City FC
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack33%83%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Almere City FC
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%18%29%55%40%48%
Draws10%27%19%18%0%10%
Loses50%55%52%27%60%43%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWL • Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric MVV Almere City FC
HATHAT
GF total151025291645
GF avg1.50.91.22.61.62.1
GA total172340152035
GA avg1.72.11.91.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVAlmere City FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%81%86%76%
1.538%52%62%57%
2.519%33%38%19%
3.55%24%24%10%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVAlmere City FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score369123

Penalties

MetricMVVAlmere City FC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMVVAlmere City FC
Wins22
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-45-01-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-45-2
Goals For3454
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricMVVAlmere City FC
Form32%68%
Att29%71%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals27%73%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Almere City FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.77 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.68 (league 1.79), Almere City FC = 1.93 (league 1.41)

Almere City FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 2.7% 5.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.6% 8.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 42.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1