Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:00 • Koning Willem II Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.74) 1.46 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 26.5% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
ADO Den Haag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 8.9% 12.9% 9.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWillem IIADO Den Haag
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%71%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Willem II ADO Den Haag
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%36%44%71%77%74%
Draws23%29%26%7%8%7%
Loses23%36%30%21%15%19%

Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDW • ADO Den Haag: WDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWWLLLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Willem II ADO Den Haag
HATHAT
GF total182038343468
GF avg1.41.41.42.42.62.5
GA total112435151530
GA avg0.81.71.31.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWillem IIADO Den Haag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%74%93%63%
1.544%37%74%33%
2.57%7%56%11%
3.50%7%22%4%
4.50%4%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWillem IIADO Den Haag
HATHAT
Clean sheets4375510
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricWillem IIADO Den Haag
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWillem IIADO Den Haag
Wins312
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-10-4
Biggest losses1-25-11-42-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricWillem IIADO Den Haag
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 0.96 (league 1.74), ADO Den Haag = 1.46 (league 1.43)

ADO Den Haag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 8.9% 12.9% 9.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.5% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1