Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.79) 1.84 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 22.3% 42.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 3.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.4% 8.7% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZJong Ajax
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack44%33%
Defense22%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%36%29%18%0%10%
Draws0%18%10%36%20%29%
Loses80%45%62%45%80%62%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total122032141327
GF avg1.21.81.51.31.31.3
GA total202343182442
GA avg2.02.12.01.62.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%86%71%86%
1.548%57%38%67%
2.529%38%14%33%
3.510%24%5%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score527426

Penalties

MetricJong AZJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricJong AZJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws13
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-1—
Biggest losses0-44-12-44-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong AZJong Ajax
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h80%20%
Goals61%39%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw4.31 @ Pinnacle
Away4.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.61 (league 1.79), Jong Ajax = 1.84 (league 1.41)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 3.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.4% 8.7% 5.3% 2.4% 0.9%
2 4.1% 7.6% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 42.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1