Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 • Yanmar Stadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.79) 1.98 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 20.2% 34.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.7% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%80%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 312 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC De Graafschap
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins55%40%48%50%55%52%
Draws18%0%10%20%18%19%
Loses27%60%43%30%27%29%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWW • De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Almere City FC De Graafschap
HATHAT
GF total291645202242
GF avg2.61.62.12.02.02.0
GA total152035161733
GA avg1.42.01.71.61.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%76%86%95%
1.562%57%71%48%
2.538%19%38%14%
3.524%10%5%0%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
Wins24
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-11-4
Biggest losses2-45-22-32-0
Goals For5434
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCDe Graafschap
Form56%44%
Att56%44%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or De Graafschap and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Unibet
No3.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 2.18 (league 1.79), De Graafschap = 1.98 (league 1.41)

De Graafschap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9%
3 2.7% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 34.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1