Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.77) 1.91 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 21.2% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.7%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.2% 7.9% 7.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportVitesse
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack47%20%
Defense27%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Vitesse
HATHAT
Played111021101020
Wins55%10%33%40%30%35%
Draws9%20%14%20%30%25%
Loses36%70%52%40%40%40%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLD • Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWL

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Vitesse
HATHAT
GF total21829151631
GF avg1.90.81.41.51.61.6
GA total191736151833
GA avg1.71.71.71.51.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportVitesse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%75%85%
1.543%52%50%55%
2.510%29%20%15%
3.55%10%10%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportVitesse
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score044235

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportVitesse
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportVitesse
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-33-10-4
Biggest losses2-44-10-44-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportVitesse
Form56%44%
Att70%30%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h33%67%
Goals50%50%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.35 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 1.93 (league 1.77), Vitesse = 1.91 (league 1.43)

Vitesse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 2.2% 4.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
1 4.2% 7.9% 7.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9%
2 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 37.7%

vtt 11 , vtd1