Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 • Seacon - De Koel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.80) 1.64 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 23.5% 40.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 4.2% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.4% 10.6% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.0% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVVV VenloJong AZ
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack40%60%
Defense47%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VVV Venlo Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played111021111122
Wins45%50%48%18%36%27%
Draws0%0%0%0%18%9%
Loses55%50%52%82%45%64%

Form: VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLL

League goals

Metric VVV Venlo Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total141428132033
GF avg1.31.41.31.21.81.5
GA total141630222345
GA avg1.31.61.42.02.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVVV VenloJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%68%86%
1.538%48%45%59%
2.519%19%27%36%
3.510%0%9%23%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVVV VenloJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score527527

Penalties

MetricVVV VenloJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricVVV VenloJong AZ
Wins22
Draws01
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-44-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricVVV VenloJong AZ
Form75%25%
Att40%60%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : VVV Venlo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VVV Venlo = 1.52 (league 1.80), Jong AZ = 1.64 (league 1.43)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 4.2% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.4% 10.6% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.0% 6.6% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 40.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1