Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 19:00 •
Seacon - De Koel
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.79)
1.66 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 23.4% | 40.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| VVV Venlo | 0 | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 45% | 50% | 48% | 20% | 36% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 10% |
| Loses | 55% | 50% | 52% | 80% | 45% | 62% |
Form: VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWW • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 20 | 23 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 76% | 67% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 48% | 48% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 29% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | VVV Venlo | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 52.2% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : VVV Venlo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ 1xBet
Draw3.85 @ Unibet
Away3.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.49 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.44 @ Unibet
No2.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): VVV Venlo = 1.52 (league 1.79), Jong AZ = 1.66 (league 1.41)
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| VVV Venlo | 0 | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 40.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1
