Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 19:00 • Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.79) 1.80 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 23.1% 53.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 5.5% 10.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
1 6.0% 10.9% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxRoda
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack47%60%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Roda
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins18%9%14%30%55%43%
Draws36%18%27%40%27%33%
Loses45%73%59%30%18%24%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLW • Roda: WWLDDWLWDWWWDDLDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Roda
HATHAT
GF total141529181836
GF avg1.31.41.31.81.61.7
GA total182543141630
GA avg1.62.32.01.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxRoda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%86%86%71%
1.541%64%48%38%
2.514%32%24%24%
3.55%14%5%10%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxRoda
HATHAT
Clean sheets303426
Failed to score426123

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxRoda
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxRoda
Wins13
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-26-01-3
Biggest losses2-44-11-44-0
Goals For4363
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxRoda
Form46%54%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Roda

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Dafabet
Away1.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.09 (league 1.79), Roda = 1.80 (league 1.42)

Roda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 5.5% 10.0% 9.0% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9%
1 6.0% 10.9% 9.8% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.3% 5.9% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 53.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1