Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • De Vijverberg
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.80) 1.68 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 22.8% 38.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.8% 9.8% 8.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack67%33%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%55%52%40%36%38%
Draws20%18%19%20%27%24%
Loses30%27%29%40%36%38%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLW • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total202242161733
GF avg2.02.02.01.61.51.6
GA total161733171633
GA avg1.61.51.61.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%95%86%81%
1.571%48%48%52%
2.538%14%14%19%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Wins42
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-44-21-4
Biggest losses2-32-01-43-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Dafabet
Away3.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Betano
No3.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.67 (league 1.80), Waalwijk = 1.68 (league 1.43)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 3.5% 5.9% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.8% 9.8% 8.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.7% 4.6% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 38.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1