Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.80) 1.54 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 24.4% 40.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 5.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.4% 11.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVJong Utrecht
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack44%78%
Defense56%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins40%25%32%42%30%36%
Draws10%25%18%25%20%23%
Loses50%50%50%33%50%41%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLW • Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWWLWLW

League goals

Metric MVV Jong Utrecht
HATHAT
GF total151227251338
GF avg1.51.01.22.11.31.7
GA total172441231740
GA avg1.72.01.91.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVJong Utrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%82%77%82%
1.541%50%50%59%
2.518%32%27%32%
3.55%23%14%9%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVJong Utrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score369235

Penalties

MetricMVVJong Utrecht
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMVVJong Utrecht
Wins22
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-45-31-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-44-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricMVVJong Utrecht
Form53%47%
Att36%64%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals62%38%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : MVV or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MVV = 1.42 (league 1.80), Jong Utrecht = 1.54 (league 1.43)

Jong Utrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 5.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
1 7.4% 11.3% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 2.5% 3.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 40.0%

vtt 9 , vtd1