Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • GelreDome
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.73) 2.79 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 14.8% 67.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
0 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
ADO Den Haag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.2% 6.0% 8.4% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.3% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitesseADO Den Haag
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack28%61%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitesse ADO Den Haag
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%27%33%82%80%81%
Draws20%36%29%0%10%5%
Loses40%36%38%18%10%14%

Form: Vitesse: LDWLWWLDWLDWLDWLLDWLD • ADO Den Haag: WDWWWWWWWWWWWWLWWWWLL

League goals

Metric Vitesse ADO Den Haag
HATHAT
GF total151833302757
GF avg1.51.61.62.72.72.7
GA total152035111223
GA avg1.51.81.71.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitesseADO Den Haag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%86%95%67%
1.552%57%81%33%
2.519%14%57%10%
3.510%10%29%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitesseADO Den Haag
HATHAT
Clean sheets213347
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricVitesseADO Den Haag
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVitesseADO Den Haag
Wins212
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-45-10-4
Biggest losses0-44-01-22-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricVitesseADO Den Haag
Form36%64%
Att31%69%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Winner : ADO Den Haag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away1.82 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitesse = 1.04 (league 1.73), ADO Den Haag = 2.79 (league 1.45)

ADO Den Haag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitesse 0 2.2% 6.0% 8.4% 7.8% 5.5% 3.1%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.8% 8.2% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.3% 3.0% 1.7%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 67.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1