Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 19:00 • Koning Willem II Stadion
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.80) 0.88 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 32.1% 31.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWillem IIVVV Venlo
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack39%39%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Willem II VVV Venlo
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins40%42%41%42%50%45%
Draws30%25%27%0%0%0%
Loses30%33%32%58%50%55%

Form: Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDW • VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Willem II VVV Venlo
HATHAT
GF total111829151429
GF avg1.11.51.31.31.41.3
GA total92130171633
GA avg0.91.81.41.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWillem IIVVV Venlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%73%68%77%
1.541%41%36%50%
2.55%9%18%23%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWillem IIVVV Venlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score213527

Penalties

MetricWillem IIVVV Venlo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricWillem IIVVV Venlo
Wins33
Draws20
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-02-4
Biggest losses1-25-10-33-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricWillem IIVVV Venlo
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals65%35%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Willem II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away4.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Willem II = 0.98 (league 1.80), VVV Venlo = 0.88 (league 1.43)

VVV Venlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Willem II 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 31.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1