Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 • De Oude Meerdijk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.10 (league 1.77) 1.43 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.3% 14.6% 14.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack31%38%
Defense19%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emmen Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played111425141327
Wins45%21%32%21%15%19%
Draws27%14%20%36%15%26%
Loses27%64%48%43%69%56%

Form: Emmen: LLLWWDWLLLWLWDWDDWLWLLDLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Emmen Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total281442191635
GF avg2.51.01.71.41.21.3
GA total192948232952
GA avg1.72.11.91.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmmenJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%88%74%85%
1.548%52%41%63%
2.520%32%11%30%
3.512%20%4%15%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets213314
Failed to score055437

Penalties

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-02-44-0
Goals For6343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Form13%88%
Att45%55%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Emmen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.62 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Pinnacle
No2.64 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emmen = 3.10 (league 1.77), Jong Ajax = 1.43 (league 1.43)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.3% 4.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.2% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.3% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 14.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1