Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:30 • De Oude Meerdijk
Not Started
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Expected Goals
3.33 (league 1.80) 1.57 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.4% 13.9% 14.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
6.5%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack61%39%
Defense28%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Emmen Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played101222121123
Wins50%25%36%17%9%13%
Draws30%8%18%42%18%30%
Loses20%67%45%42%73%57%

Form: Emmen: LLLWWDWLLLWLWDWDDWLWLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Emmen Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total261339161531
GF avg2.61.11.81.31.41.3
GA total162743202545
GA avg1.62.32.01.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEmmenJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%86%74%87%
1.550%55%43%65%
2.523%32%13%30%
3.514%23%4%13%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score044426

Penalties

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Wins21
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-34-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-02-44-1
Goals For6343
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricEmmenJong Ajax
Form60%40%
Att61%39%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Emmen or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw5.00 @ Dafabet
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Emmen = 3.33 (league 1.80), Jong Ajax = 1.57 (league 1.43)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
Emmen 0 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.2% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.8% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.4% · Draw 13.9% · Away win 14.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1