Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • GS Staalwerken Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.79) 1.68 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 19.8% 27.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHelmond SportDen Bosch
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack24%41%
Defense35%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Helmond Sport Den Bosch
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins46%8%28%46%33%40%
Draws23%17%20%23%8%16%
Loses31%75%52%31%58%44%

Form: Helmond Sport: LDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDL • Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWLWLLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Helmond Sport Den Bosch
HATHAT
GF total23831271845
GF avg1.80.71.22.11.51.8
GA total212445192746
GA avg1.62.01.81.52.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHelmond SportDen Bosch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%80%88%84%
1.540%56%52%60%
2.58%32%20%28%
3.54%12%12%4%
4.50%0%8%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHelmond SportDen Bosch
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score167123

Penalties

MetricHelmond SportDen Bosch
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricHelmond SportDen Bosch
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-35-22-4
Biggest losses2-44-02-36-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricHelmond SportDen Bosch
Form38%63%
Att36%64%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total40.3%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Den Bosch

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Betfair
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ 188Bet
No2.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Helmond Sport = 2.32 (league 1.79), Den Bosch = 1.68 (league 1.42)

Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Helmond Sport 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1