Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:00 • De Geusselt
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.79) 2.51 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 18.9% 45.2%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 3
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMVVJong PSV U21
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack29%82%
Defense24%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MVV Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins33%23%28%58%42%50%
Draws25%23%24%17%17%17%
Loses42%54%48%25%42%33%

Form: MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLD • Jong PSV U21: WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric MVV Jong PSV U21
HATHAT
GF total181230262551
GF avg1.50.91.22.22.12.1
GA total202949172946
GA avg1.72.22.01.42.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMVVJong PSV U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%84%88%83%
1.540%52%75%54%
2.516%32%42%33%
3.54%24%8%13%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMVVJong PSV U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score3710213

Penalties

MetricMVVJong PSV U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricMVVJong PSV U21
Wins25
Draws13
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-44-02-4
Biggest losses2-45-00-34-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against4535

Model comparison

MetricMVVJong PSV U21
Form36%64%
Att26%74%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals52%48%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong PSV U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Unibet
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.34 @ Pinnacle
No3.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): MVV = 2.02 (league 1.79), Jong PSV U21 = 2.51 (league 1.42)

Jong PSV U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
MVV 0 1.1% 2.7% 3.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9%
1 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.6% 1.8%
2 2.2% 5.5% 6.9% 5.8% 3.6% 1.8%
3 1.5% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 45.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1