Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:00 • Sportpark De Toekomst
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.74) 1.98 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.5% 21.5% 57.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cambuur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 4.8% 9.6% 9.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.7% 5.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AjaxCambuur
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack43%79%
Defense29%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Ajax Cambuur
HATHAT
Played131225111223
Wins23%8%16%82%50%65%
Draws38%17%28%18%25%22%
Loses38%75%56%0%25%13%

Form: Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWL • Cambuur: LWWWDWWWDWWDLWWDWDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Jong Ajax Cambuur
HATHAT
GF total181533282250
GF avg1.41.31.32.51.82.2
GA total212950101626
GA avg1.62.42.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AjaxCambuur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%88%91%61%
1.544%64%65%30%
2.512%32%35%17%
3.54%16%22%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AjaxCambuur
HATHAT
Clean sheets303549
Failed to score437112

Penalties

MetricJong AjaxCambuur
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJong AjaxCambuur
Wins14
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-4
Biggest losses2-44-0—4-2
Goals For4354
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricJong AjaxCambuur
Form37%63%
Att35%65%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals41%59%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cambuur

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away1.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Ajax = 1.05 (league 1.74), Cambuur = 1.98 (league 1.45)

Cambuur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Ajax 0 4.8% 9.6% 9.5% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.9% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.7% 5.3% 5.2% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 57.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1