Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 19:00 • Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.74) 2.00 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.8% 20.2% 35.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong UtrechtWillem II
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack86%64%
Defense14%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong Utrecht Willem II
HATHAT
Played131225121325
Wins38%25%32%50%38%44%
Draws31%33%32%25%23%24%
Loses31%42%36%25%38%32%

Form: Jong Utrecht: LDWLWLLLDLWWDDLDWWLWLWDDD • Willem II: LLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Jong Utrecht Willem II
HATHAT
GF total271744151934
GF avg2.11.41.81.31.51.4
GA total252146112334
GA avg1.91.81.80.91.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong UtrechtWillem II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%84%88%76%
1.556%64%44%40%
2.524%28%4%8%
3.512%8%0%8%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong UtrechtWillem II
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricJong UtrechtWillem II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricJong UtrechtWillem II
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-31-42-00-2
Biggest losses2-44-01-25-1
Goals For5423
Goals Against4425

Model comparison

MetricJong UtrechtWillem II
Form38%63%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total37.0%63.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Willem II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Superbet
Away2.56 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Pinnacle
No2.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong Utrecht = 2.17 (league 1.74), Willem II = 2.00 (league 1.43)

Willem II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong Utrecht 0 1.5% 3.1% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.4% 6.7% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.6% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.8% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 35.1%

vtt 5 , vtd1