Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.73) 2.12 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 20.9% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 2.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.8% 8.1% 8.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZDen Bosch
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack88%38%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ Den Bosch
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins15%50%33%50%31%41%
Draws0%14%7%21%8%15%
Loses85%36%59%29%62%44%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLW • Den Bosch: WWLDWLLWDWLWLLWWLWLLWLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Jong AZ Den Bosch
HATHAT
GF total173047291847
GF avg1.32.11.72.11.41.7
GA total282553202949
GA avg2.21.82.01.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZDen Bosch
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%85%85%85%
1.552%56%52%59%
2.537%33%19%26%
3.511%22%11%4%
4.50%0%7%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZDen Bosch
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score527134

Penalties

MetricJong AZDen Bosch
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJong AZDen Bosch
Wins22
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-45-22-4
Biggest losses0-44-12-36-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against4436

Model comparison

MetricJong AZDen Bosch
Form64%36%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals27%73%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.15 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.65 (league 1.73), Den Bosch = 2.12 (league 1.45)

Den Bosch
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 2.3% 4.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.8% 8.1% 8.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.7% 7.1% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 5 , vtd1