Fri, Feb 27 2026 • 19:00 •
Sportcomplex De Toekomst
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.75)
0.80 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 26.9% | 20.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Helmond Sport | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong Ajax | 0 | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 30% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 14% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 32% |
| Draws | 36% | 21% | 29% | 20% | 15% | 18% |
| Loses | 43% | 64% | 54% | 33% | 69% | 50% |
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Helmond SportLDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 16 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 23 | 29 | 52 | 24 | 24 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 82% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 29% | 7% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 14% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-0 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.89 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
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League standings
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