Fri, Feb 27 2026 • 19:00 •
De Herdgang
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.75)
1.39 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.6% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Dordrecht | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jong PSV U21 | 0 | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 20% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 43% | 50% | 36% | 43% | 39% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
Jong PSV U21WWWWWLWLDDDLLWWDLWLLWLWWLWLW
DordrechtWWLWDDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLLDWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 29 | 58 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 19 | 33 | 52 | 17 | 20 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 82% | 79% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 57% | 39% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 29% | 18% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 11% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 3-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jong PSV U21 | Dordrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No3.05 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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